Cryptocurrency News Today: Key Events and Market Movements
On 29 September 2025, the cryptocurrency market is exhibiting mixed dynamics: Bitcoin is undergoing a crucial support test, Ethereum is preparing for a significant upgrade, and institutional ETFs are experiencing outflows. This review provides a detailed overview of price movements, key metrics, technological and macroeconomic factors, on-chain data, and recommendations for investors.
Major Prices and Market Dynamics
Bitcoin is trading at 110,500 USD (−3.2% over the past 24 hours) after testing support at 108,000 USD. Trading volume has risen by 18%, indicating activity from major players.
Ethereum and Open Interest
Ethereum is priced at 3,950 USD (−2.8%). Open interest in ETH futures has decreased to 3,800 contracts — a six-week low.
Top Altcoins
Solana is up 4.5% following the lifting of the CU limit; XRP down 1.7% amid delayed SEC decisions; Quant and The Graph have both gained 12% over the week.
Market Capitalisation and Dominance
The total market capitalisation stands at 2.1 trillion USD (−2.5%), with BTC's share at 47.2%.
Institutional Products and Flows
This week, 210 million USD exited Bitcoin ETFs, and 45 million USD withdrew from Ethereum ETFs. Spot funds are receiving lesser inflows than futures, indicating caution among institutional investors.
BlackRock and Fidelity Funds
Flow distributions show active sell-offs ahead of key economic reports from the US and potential budgetary shutdown risks.
Market Metrics and Indicators
The Fear and Greed Index is at 41 points ("Fear"), the average spread has widened by 12%, and BTC's exchange balance has decreased by 15,000 coins.
Technological Updates
Ethereum "Alpenglow"
Launch on 3 October: optimisation of node syncing, reduced storage requirements, and lower fees.
Solana Limit CU
Transaction capacity has been increased to 80,000 TPS; DEX migration is set to commence in October.
On-chain: Bitchat
DeFi messenger Bitchat in Madagascar: user base up 150% within a month.
Macroeconomics and Regulation
US shutdown risks and a CPI estimate of 3.5% year-on-year impact the demand for risk assets. The SEC has postponed its decision on Ripple until the end of October, keeping XRP under pressure.
India and DeFi
Licensing for DeFi platforms: KYC and smart contract audit requirements will come into effect in 2026.
Altcoins and Trends
Cardano is up 2.2% with the launch of a DApp marketplace; Polkadot gained 1.8% following XCM integration; Avalanche is down 1.5%; Chainlink is up 3.9%. Quant and The Graph both advanced 12% over the week.
Layer-2 Boom
Arbitrum and Optimism: +25% in transaction volume post-launch of CrossChain bridges.
Regional Aspects
USA
Launch of BTC-ETF 2.0 is anticipated in November, with FinCEN discussing tightened KYC requirements for exchanges.
Europe
MiCA is tightening requirements for stablecoin issuers and wallet providers.
Asia
South Korea has reduced the tax on DeFi earnings to 15% to stimulate Web3 growth.
Latin America
Uruguay recognises BTC as equivalent to fiat from 2026, opening new business opportunities.
On-chain Data and Social Signals
Exchange Flows
Net outflow of BTC from exchanges over the past 7 days: 20,000 BTC.
Active Addresses
Active Bitcoin addresses daily: 620,000 (−8%).
Social Sentiment
#Bitcoin on Twitter: −12%; activity on Reddit (r/CryptoCurrency): −8%.
Practical Recommendations
Set a stop-loss for BTC at 107,000 USD; take-profit at 115,000 USD. For ETH: stop-loss at 3,800 USD, take-profit at 4,200 USD. DCA for SOL and ADA is recommended ahead of updates, hedging via BTC options, and diversifying into stablecoins.
Diversification
Allocate 20% of the portfolio to USDC and 10% to promising DeFi tokens.
Fundamental Analysis and Forecasts
The expected CPI for the US is 3.5% year-on-year; rising Fed rates are suppressing demand for risk assets. BTC's correlation with Nasdaq stands at 0.55.
CoinDesk Analytics
Forecast for testing the 105,000 USD region by mid-October.
Galaxy Digital Assessment
ETH may rise to 5,000 USD following the Alpenglow update.
Conferences and Events
Devcon X
Barcelona, theme "ZK-Rollups at Scale", grants available for $10 million.
ETHGlobal Tokyo
Hackathon focused on L2 solutions, with over 200 participants from 15 countries.
Practical Trading Cases
Median Trader
A trader purchased BTC at 112,000 USD and sold at 118,000 USD, achieving a profit of 5.3%.
Altcoin Arbitrage
Arbitrage of SOL between Binance and FTX yielded a 2.1% profit within a day.
Conclusion
The cryptocurrency market remains sensitive to technological updates, macro factors, and institutional flows. A comprehensive analysis of dynamics, on-chain metrics, and social data will aid in developing strategies and acting confidently amid high volatility.
