Economic Events and Corporate Reports — Sunday 15 February 2026 Global Market, S&P 500, Euro Stoxx 50, Nikkei 225, MOEX

Key Economic Events and Corporate Reports on Sunday, 15 February 2026. An Analysis of Global Markets, Company Reports from the USA, Europe, Asia, and Russia, and the Dynamics of the S&P 500, Euro Stoxx 50, Nikkei 225, and MOEX for CIS Investors.

Sundays rarely provide "direct" trading impulses: major exchanges are closed, liquidity is limited, and market reactions often shift to futures and currencies. However, it is on such days that the risk profile for the start of the week is formed. On 15 February 2026, investors' focus will be on inflation signals from the Middle East, preliminary GDP data from Japan, and public comments from the President of the European Central Bank. For the CIS audience, this is an important set of benchmarks: it sets the tone for global risk appetite, influences the dynamics of the dollar and yen, and, through commodity and currency channels, affects the sensitivity of Russian assets and the MOEX market to external factors.

Market Context: Key Factors Before Week Opening

Prior to the start of a new week, investors typically assess three layers of "market temperature": (1) sentiment in the USA through S&P 500 dynamics and futures, (2) interest rate expectations in Europe via the bond market and ECB rhetoric, and (3) the Asian cycle via Japan and China, where macro data can quickly alter the movement of the yen and regional indices. Over the weekend, the key indicator will be the behavior of futures on American indices and commodities in electronic sessions: this may not always provide an accurate forecast but serves as a helpful marker of how the market digests news before Monday's "opening bell."

• USA: sensitivity to inflation surprises and bond yields is crucial; futures often provide the first signal for the week's opening.
• Europe: the driving force is expectations regarding the trajectory of rates and the tone of the ECB; even a single speech can shift pricing probabilities.
• Asia: Japan's GDP is a key trigger for the yen and Nikkei 225; the effect then "flows" into global portfolios.

Economic Events of the Day: Calendar and Timing

Below are timestamps for reference. For CIS readers, it is convenient to note: MSK = GMT+3. If you are trading through international brokers, align the timing of publications with your platform's time zone.

• Saudi Arabia – Inflation (CPI) for January: 06:00 GMT (09:00 MSK). The dynamics of core components and price stability in services are important. For the markets, this signals "internal pressure" in the region's economy and serves as an indirect factor in discussions around monetary policy in countries with dollar-pegged currencies.
• Eurozone – Public comments from the ECB President: 09:30 GMT (12:30 MSK). The market will be attentive to formulations regarding the balance of risks (inflation vs growth) and hints at the duration of tight policy.
• Japan – Preliminary GDP for Q4: 23:50 GMT (02:50 MSK, 16 February). Key components include domestic consumption, investment, and the contribution of external demand. An upside surprise usually supports cyclical stories and strengthens the yen; a downside surprise raises caution and intensifies demand for safe-haven assets.

How Macro Factors May Influence Markets: Three Scenarios

1. Saudi Arabia's Inflation Exceeds Expectations: The likelihood of a more "hawkish" rhetoric in the region increases, heightening interest in the dollar and short-duration instruments. For risk assets, this may imply a more cautious start to the week.
2. Japan's GDP is Stronger Than Expected: The chance of a stronger yen rises, and the Nikkei 225 may react ambiguously (a strong yen sometimes pressures exporters). On a global scale, this supports the narrative of sustainable growth in Asia.
3. ECB's Comments are "Hawkish": Yields in Europe may increase, potentially dampening demand for shares in the Euro Stoxx 50 and intensifying the rotation between sectors (banks/safe sectors versus "long" growth stories).

Corporate Reports: What is Being Released on Sunday

According to calendar schedules, Sundays typically feature a limited number of reports, with major issuers (top-tier stocks from the S&P 500, Euro Stoxx 50, Nikkei 225, and MOEX) often reporting during weekdays. Therefore, 15 February is more of a "preparatory" day: investors refine expectations for upcoming weekly publications, read preliminary materials, and adjust risk limits.

Nevertheless, individual companies may appear on calendars (often of medium capitalisation or international listings), and the market looks to a standard set of metrics: revenue, margin, cash flow, debt load, and guidance.

Reporting Calendar: Pre-Market and After Market Close

Below are examples of companies that may feature in the calendars for this date. Please note that for weekend days, postponements and "floating" statuses are common, so it is advisable to verify the final publication time based on official announcements from the issuers.

USA, Europe, Asia, and Russia: Index Focus

• S&P 500: The main sensitivity lies with interest rates and inflation expectations. Over the weekend, futures dynamics and yields are more significant than individual corporate news.
• Euro Stoxx 50: Key focus is on ECB communications and their impact on banks, industry, and the consumer sector. Even without a large flow of reports, the European market can gain momentum through the regulator's rhetoric.
• Nikkei 225: The key trigger is Japan's GDP and the yen's reaction. For global portfolios, Japan often acts as a barometer for the Asian cycle.
• MOEX: On Sunday, trading in stocks is closed, so the focus is on external risk appetite, oil, dollar exchange rates, and expectations for Monday. For CIS investors, it is important to assess gap scenarios at the opening in light of changes in the global backdrop.

Key Risks of the Day

• Low Liquidity: Movements in futures and specific instruments during the weekend can be "noisy" and not necessarily confirmed at the opening of main exchanges.
• Macro Surprises: Unexpected inflation or GDP figures over the weekend can shift currencies and interest rate expectations before Monday.
• Calendar Uncertainty of Reports: It is not uncommon to encounter delays in publications or time clarifications over the weekend; this increases the risk of misaligning a trade with an event.

What Investors Should Pay Attention To

1. Check the "Map of the Week": Compile a list of key events for the next 3-5 trading days (macro, regulatory decisions, major company reports) and set risk levels in advance.
2. Currency Scenarios: In the dollar-yen connection, the reaction to Japan’s GDP can be swift; this affects global portfolios and, indirectly, commodity assets.
3. ECB Signals: Assess not only the "hawkish/dovish" stance but also specifics: risk balance, conditions for rate changes, emphasis on service and wage inflation.
4. Preparation for Monday on MOEX: For CIS investors, it is useful to define an action plan in advance for significant shifts in the external backdrop (oil, dollar, global indices) – especially if using leverage.

15 February 2026 is a day when macroeconomic signals may prove more significant than the usual flow of corporate reports. Inflation in Saudi Arabia, preliminary GDP from Japan, and ECB rhetoric form a trio of factors capable of influencing currencies, rate expectations, and the sentiment of global markets ahead of the week’s opening. The practical task for investors is not to try to "catch" each movement in a thin market, but to prepare scenarios, establish risk limits, and enter Monday with a plan focusing on key levels and events.