Key Economic Events and Corporate Reports for Monday, February 16, 2026: Japan's GDP, Eurozone Industrial Production, Canadian Inflation, US and China's Holiday. Analysis of Impact on Global Equity Markets.
- Liquidity Below Normal: The US and Canada are not trading (Washington’s Birthday/Presidents’ Day and Family Day), mainland China is closed for Chinese New Year; Hong Kong is operating on a half-day basis.
- Economic Events of the Day: Japan's GDP for Q4 2025; Eurozone industrial production for December; Canada's CPI for January postponed to February 17.
- Market Focus: S&P 500 - no cash trading, reactions shift to futures/FX; Euro Stoxx 50 and Nikkei 225 gain more prominence; MOEX is sensitive to currency, commodities, and local corporate news.
February 16, 2026 — A typical "thin Monday": a portion of the largest trading centres are shut down, meaning even moderate news in macroeconomics or corporate reports can prompt disproportionate reactions in prices. Below is a condensed calendar of economic events and a review of reports for February 16, 2026, with a global focus and addressed to investors in the CIS regions.
Daily Calendar: Events Shaping the 'Risk Agenda'
- USA: No trading (Washington’s Birthday/Presidents’ Day). This "muffles" cash signals for the S&P 500 and decreases regional arbitrage opportunities.
- Canada: No trading (Family Day). CPI for January officially postponed to Tuesday, February 17.
- China (Mainland): Stock exchanges closed for the Spring Festival (Chinese New Year).
- Hong Kong: Half-day trading with no settlement day on the eve of Lunar New Year — expect "jagged" quotations for China-proxy stocks.
- Japan (02:50 MSK): First estimate of GDP for Q4 2025 — a key driver for Nikkei 225 and USD/JPY during the Asian session.
- Eurozone (13:00 MSK): Industrial production for December — significant for cyclical sectors in Euro Stoxx 50 and central bank rate expectations.
- Russia: Kick-off of Russian Business Week (February 16–20). The first day features forums by RSPP focused on workforce issues, technical regulation, and regulatory policy.
Asia: Japan's GDP and the Effect of China's 'Holiday Vacuum'
Japan's GDP for Q4 2025 came in weaker than expected: growth was approximately 0.2% year-on-year (annualised), and quarterly growth was around 0.1%. In a "thin" market, this increases the likelihood of moves through the currency channel (yen) and influences sentiment in global futures.
The shutdown of mainland China narrows the space for reevaluating commodity demand and pricing signals from supply chains; Hong Kong remains an entry point, but the reduced session may distort the picture.
Europe: Industrial Production and Central Bank Rhetoric
December's industrial production in the Eurozone is one of the few "hard" indicators of the day. For Euro Stoxx 50, the important factors are (1) the direction of the surprise relative to expectations, (2) sector reactions — industrial companies, automotive, chemicals, and (3) implications for the trajectory of rates and the balance of "growth vs inflation" for central banks. The Eurogroup meeting and public comments from monetary bloc representatives are also on the agenda.
North America: A Day Without Cash, but Not Without Price Action
The closures in the US and Canada elevate the role of futures, currencies, and commodities as "transitional" indicators of global risk. For investors, this is a practical signal: to consider the widening spreads and potential liquidity gaps in instruments related to the S&P 500 and USD assets.
Russia and the CIS: Context for MOEX
For MOEX, the day takes place against a backdrop of limited external liquidity and a busy domestic business agenda (Russian Business Week). On the level of individual securities, "small" corporate triggers are beginning to play a role — operational updates, coupon payments, corporate events; international investors from the CIS typically monitor impacts through the rouble and commodity prices.
Corporate Reports: Confirmed Releases for February 16, 2026
The table below records major public companies that have confirmed releases/results for February 16, 2026 (according to official company calendars and exchange disclosures). If there are no open expectations for revenue/profit, it is noted as "uncertain." No major confirmed reports in the US have been identified for this date (market closed).
| Company | Exchange/Region | Expected Key Metrics (Revenue/Profit/Notes) |
|---|---|---|
| Bridgestone Corporation | Japan (TSE) | Annual report for 2025; scheduled for publication at 14:30 (Tokyo). Focus: margin, FX effect, guidance. Metrics/consensus — uncertain. |
| Sartorius AG | Germany (Frankfurt/Xetra) | Publication of annual report for 2025. Preliminary: revenue €3.538 billion; underlying EBITDA €1.052 billion (margin 29.7%); underlying net profit €331 million. |
| Sartorius Stedim Biotech S.A. | France (Euronext Paris) | Publication of annual report for 2025. Preliminary: revenue €2.967 billion; underlying EBITDA €914 million (margin 30.8%); net profit €266 million. |
| JB Hi‑Fi Limited | Australia (ASX) | HY26 results presentation. Metrics: sales/margin/dividend — uncertain. |
| Stockland | Australia (ASX) | 1H26 Results. Metrics: FFO, portfolio value, development, dividend — uncertain. |
| Treasury Wine Estates | Australia (ASX) | Interim results: profit before one-off items ~A$128.5 million; significant asset impairment; dividend suspended (according to media reports). |
| Ansell Limited | Australia (ASX) | Publication of half-year results (to December 31, 2025). Metrics: revenue/margin/FX — uncertain. |
| PJSC 'MGKL' | Russia (MOEX) | "Operational results for 1 month" (January 2026) according to the issuer's calendar. Revenue/volume details — uncertain until publication. |
| USA: Major Public Companies | USA (NYSE/Nasdaq) | uncertain (as of February 16, 2026, no major reports confirmed; market closed) |
Visualisations and Mermaid Timeline for Publication
- FX Panel: USD/JPY (reaction to Japan's GDP), EUR/USD and USD/CAD (against the backdrop of CPI expectations).
- Sector Map: reaction of Euro Stoxx 50 to industrial production (industry/automotive/chemicals).
- Index Thermometer: Nikkei 225, Euro Stoxx 50, S&P 500 futures, MOEX — all in one window.
February 16, 2026 (MSK): Economic Events and Corporate Reports 00:00-23:59 : USA/Canada — no trading | China (Mainland) — holiday 00:00-23:59 : Hong Kong — half-day trading (Eve of Lunar New Year) 02:50 : Japan — GDP (Q4 2025, first estimate) 13:00 : Eurozone — industrial production (December) 16:30 : Canada — CPI (postponed to 17.02) 10:00-17:00 : Russia — start of Russian Business Week (RSPP) 00:00-23:59 : Corporate reports — Bridgestone; Sartorius/SSB; Australia (JBH, SGP, ANN, TWE); Russia (MGKL)
What Investors Should Pay Attention To
- The 'Thin Market' Risk: In the absence of the US, cash-oriented benchmarks for the S&P 500 are unavailable, which may lead to rising spreads and slippage.
- Nikkei 225 and Currency: Japan's weak GDP amplifies the role of USD/JPY as an indicator of global sentiment.
- Euro Stoxx 50: Eurozone industrial production is the main European macro trigger of the day; sector reactions are critical.
- Canada's CPI: The key inflation release has been shifted to February 17 — Monday may be a 'day of expectation' for CAD assets.
- Corporate Reports: In Europe — details on annual reports from Sartorius/SSB following strong preliminary figures; in Asia — margin and forecast from Bridgestone; in Australia — consumer signals (JB Hi-Fi) and real estate (Stockland), as well as profit quality from Treasury Wine Estates.
- MOEX: Internal events and operational updates could exacerbate dispersion across individual securities; for the CIS portfolio, the key is to control currency risk and liquidity scenarios.
The combination of "economic events" + "corporate reports" on February 16, 2026, should be interpreted with an awareness of the holiday calendar: markets are re-evaluating risk through Europe, Japan, and currencies, whilst corporate news receives disproportionate weight.
